Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Asito StadiumHeracles vs Roda prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Heracles 2.2 – 1.0 Roda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Heracles are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 14% for Roda.
Heracles have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. Roda have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.2 for Heracles, 1.0 for Roda). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.48 is close to our fair price of 1.59.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Heracles to win ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.42 |
| Double chance | Heracles or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.48 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.67 |
| Half-time result | Heracles ahead at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Heracles / FT Heracles ✓ | 42% | 2.35 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 10% | 10.12 | – |
Form
Heracles – last 6
| 2 Nov | vs FC OSS | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | @ De Treffers | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Oct | @ NAC Breda | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ MVV | 5–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Waalwijk | 3–0 | W |
| 2 Oct | @ Helmond Sport | 2–2 | D |
Roda – last 6
| 30 Oct | vs Jong AZ | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Oct | vs De Graafschap | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | @ Almere City FC | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Oct | @ Jong Utrecht | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Jong PSV U21 | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ VVV Venlo | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heracles and Roda.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 14 | +29 | 35 |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo | 14 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Almere City FC | 14 | +16 | 28 |
| 4 |  NAC Breda | 14 | +5 | 25 |
| 5 |  Roda | 14 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 |  Emmen | 14 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 14 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |  MVV | 14 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 |  Den Bosch | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Vitesse | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Waalwijk | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Jong AZ | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Jong PSV U21 | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 |  Jong Ajax | 14 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 |  De Graafschap | 13 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  FC OSS | 14 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Helmond Sport | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 14 | -16 | 12 |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 |  FC Eindhoven | 14 | -13 | 11 |
More Eerste Divisie predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Heracles vs Roda?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Heracles vs Roda?
On our numbers Heracles have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Roda 14%.
How many goals will there be in Heracles vs Roda?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Heracles vs Roda?
Heracles vs Roda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Asito Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.