Vitesse host NAC Breda in the Eerste Divisie on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at GelreDome. Vitesse are 15th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while NAC Breda sit 13th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vitesse's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Heracles 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
NAC Breda's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat FC Eindhoven 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.8 for Vitesse and 1.8 for NAC Breda. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Vitesse 1–1 NAC Breda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vitesse38%fair 2.61 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.80
NAC Breda41%fair 2.46 · @2.15
3.63Expected goals
1.79Vitesse xG
1.84NAC Breda xG
69%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%
From our goals model: Vitesse 1.8 – 1.8 NAC Breda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NAC Breda to win✗
41%
2.46
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NAC Breda / FT NAC Breda✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.42
–
Form
Vitesse – last 6
LWLWWL
26 Sep
@ Heracles
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Jong PSV U21
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Roda
0–1
L
4 Sep
vs FC OSS
2–1
W
28 Aug
@ Den Bosch
4–1
W
21 Aug
vs Almere City FC
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
NAC Breda – last 6
WWLLDW
26 Sep
vs FC Eindhoven
4–2
W
20 Sep
@ De Graafschap
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Jong Utrecht
2–3
L
4 Sep
@ Waalwijk
2–4
L
28 Aug
@ Roda
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Jong Ajax
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitesse and NAC Breda.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Vitesse vs NAC Breda?
On our numbers Vitesse have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and NAC Breda 41%.
How many goals will there be in Vitesse vs NAC Breda?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitesse vs NAC Breda?
Our predicted score is Vitesse 1–1 NAC Breda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Vitesse vs NAC Breda?
Vitesse vs NAC Breda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at GelreDome.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
