Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Stadion de VliertDen Bosch vs Dordrecht prediction & analysis
Den Bosch to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Den Bosch 2.6 – 1.4 Dordrecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Den Bosch are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 20% for Dordrecht.
Den Bosch have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.2 per game. Dordrecht have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 1.3 scored and 3.3 conceded.
We expect around 4.0 goals (2.6 for Den Bosch, 1.4 for Dordrecht). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (7%), 1–1 (7%).
Our pick is Den Bosch to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is better than our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Den Bosch to win ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | 1.35 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Half-time result | Den Bosch ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Den Bosch / FT Den Bosch ✗ | 41% | 2.42 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.55 | – |
Form
Den Bosch – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ De Graafschap | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Helmond Sport | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ FC Volendam | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Sep | @ Jong PSV U21 | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Vitesse | 1–4 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs FC Eindhoven | 5–2 | W |
Dordrecht – last 6
| 25 Sep | vs Almere City FC | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Sep | @ FC OSS | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Sep | @ FC Eindhoven | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Jong AZ | 3–6 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ FC Volendam | 1–6 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs Roda | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Den Bosch and Dordrecht.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 14 | +29 | 35 |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo | 14 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Almere City FC | 14 | +16 | 28 |
| 4 |  NAC Breda | 14 | +5 | 25 |
| 5 |  Roda | 14 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 |  Emmen | 14 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 14 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |  MVV | 14 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 |  Den Bosch | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Vitesse | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Waalwijk | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Jong AZ | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Jong PSV U21 | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 |  Jong Ajax | 14 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 |  De Graafschap | 13 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  FC OSS | 14 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Helmond Sport | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 14 | -16 | 12 |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 |  FC Eindhoven | 14 | -13 | 11 |
More Eerste Divisie predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Den Bosch vs Dordrecht?
Our pick is Den Bosch to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Den Bosch vs Dordrecht?
On our numbers Den Bosch have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Dordrecht 20%.
How many goals will there be in Den Bosch vs Dordrecht?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
When is Den Bosch vs Dordrecht?
Den Bosch vs Dordrecht (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion de Vliert.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.