Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Mandemakers StadionWaalwijk vs Emmen prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Waalwijk 2.3 – 1.7 Emmen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Waalwijk hold the edge on home soil with a 50% chance of winning, against 29% for Emmen.
Waalwijk have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.3 per game. Emmen have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
We expect around 4.0 goals (2.3 for Waalwijk, 1.7 for Emmen). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (8%), 1–1 (7%), 2–2 (7%).
In their last 1 meeting, Waalwijk have won 1, Emmen have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.45.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Waalwijk to win ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Half-time result | Waalwijk ahead at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Waalwijk / FT Waalwijk ✗ | 32% | 3.14 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 12.24 | – |
Form
Waalwijk – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Roda | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs MVV | 6–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | @ Jong Ajax | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs NAC Breda | 4–2 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs Jong PSV U21 | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Aug | @ Helmond Sport | 1–1 | D |
Emmen – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs FC OSS | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | @ FC Eindhoven | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs De Graafschap | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs FC Volendam | 5–3 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ VVV Venlo | 0–4 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs Jong AZ | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 10 Apr 2026 | Waalwijk v Emmen | 5–0 |
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 14 | +29 | 35 |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo | 14 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Almere City FC | 14 | +16 | 28 |
| 4 |  NAC Breda | 14 | +5 | 25 |
| 5 |  Roda | 14 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 |  Emmen | 14 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 14 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |  MVV | 14 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 |  Den Bosch | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Vitesse | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Waalwijk | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Jong AZ | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Jong PSV U21 | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 |  Jong Ajax | 14 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 |  De Graafschap | 13 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  FC OSS | 14 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Helmond Sport | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 14 | -16 | 12 |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 |  FC Eindhoven | 14 | -13 | 11 |
More Eerste Divisie predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Waalwijk vs Emmen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Waalwijk vs Emmen?
On our numbers Waalwijk have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Emmen 29%.
How many goals will there be in Waalwijk vs Emmen?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
When is Waalwijk vs Emmen?
Waalwijk vs Emmen (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Mandemakers Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.