Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Varna to win ✗39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.81
Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia preview and prediction
The match
Spartak Varna host Lokomotiv Sofia in the First League on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 13:15 (WAT) at Stadion Spartak. Spartak Varna are 7th with 16 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Lokomotiv Sofia sit 14th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Spartak Varna's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Slavia Sofia 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Lokomotiv Sofia's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to CSKA Sofia 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 May 2026, finished Spartak Varna 3–0 Lokomotiv Sofia. Across their last 2 meetings Spartak Varna have won 1, Lokomotiv Sofia 0, with 1 draw and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Spartak Varna and 1.4 for Lokomotiv Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spartak Varna 39%, draw 24%, Lokomotiv Sofia 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Spartak Varna 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartak Varna39%fair 2.59 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Lokomotiv Sofia37%fair 2.68 · @2.50
2.89Expected goals
1.46Spartak Varna xG
1.43Lokomotiv Sofia xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Spartak Varna 1.5 – 1.4 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
On our numbers Spartak Varna have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lokomotiv Sofia 37%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our predicted score is Spartak Varna 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
