Value bet: Ludogorets to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultLevski Sofia to win43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010% · fair 10.13
Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets preview and prediction
The match
Ludogorets travel to Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov in the First League on Sunday 20 September (18:30 WAT) to face Levski Sofia. Levski Sofia are 2nd with 32 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Ludogorets sit 3rd on 30 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Levski Sofia's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Red Bull Salzburg 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Ludogorets's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Septemvri Sofia 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Ludogorets arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 May 2026, finished Ludogorets 1–1 Levski Sofia. Across their last 2 meetings Levski Sofia have won 0, Ludogorets 1, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Levski Sofia and 1.2 for Ludogorets. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Levski Sofia 43%, draw 23%, Ludogorets 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Ludogorets to win at 3.30 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Levski Sofia 1–1 Ludogorets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Levski Sofia43%fair 2.33 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.00
Ludogorets35%fair 2.90 · @3.30
2.67Expected goals
1.43Levski Sofia xG
1.24Ludogorets xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Levski Sofia 1.4 – 1.2 Ludogorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets?
On our numbers Levski Sofia have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ludogorets 35%.
How many goals will there be in Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets?
Our predicted score is Levski Sofia 1–1 Ludogorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets?
Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets (First League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
