Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
CSKA Sofia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCSKA Sofia to win ✗64% · @1.44
Double chanceCSKA Sofia or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.87
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia preview and prediction
The match
CSKA Sofia travel to Stadion Lokomotiv in the First League on Sunday 20 September (15:45 WAT) to face Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while CSKA Sofia sit 1st on 34 points (top of the table). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lokomotiv Plovdiv's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Botev Plovdiv 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
CSKA Sofia's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Lokomotiv Sofia 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
CSKA Sofia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.8 for CSKA Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 16%, draw 20%, CSKA Sofia 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CSKA Sofia to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1 CSKA Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv Plovdiv16%fair 6.10 · @6.50
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.70
CSKA Sofia64%fair 1.57 · @1.44
2.50Expected goals
0.73Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
1.77CSKA Sofia xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.7 – 1.8 CSKA Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Sofia to win✗
64%
1.57
1.44
Double chance
CSKA Sofia or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
CSKA Sofia ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Sofia / FT CSKA Sofia✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.87
–
Form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 6
LWLLLL
13 Sep
@ Botev Plovdiv
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Cherno More Varna
1–0
W
28 Aug
@ CSKA 1948
0–2
L
24 Aug
vs Arda Kardzhali
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Dunav Ruse
1–2
L
7 Aug
@ Levski Sofia
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
CSKA Sofia – last 6
WWWDWL
16 Sep
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Arda Kardzhali
4–1
W
9 Sep
@ Levski Sofia
4–2
W
5 Sep
@ Spartak Varna
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Cherno More Varna
3–1
W
27 Aug
vs OFI
0–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Plovdiv and CSKA Sofia.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?
Our pick is CSKA Sofia to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and CSKA Sofia 64%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1 CSKA Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia (First League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
