Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCF Pachuca to win ✗66% · @1.65
Double chanceCF Pachuca or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.61
CF Pachuca vs Necaxa preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees CF Pachuca take on Necaxa on Monday 12 October, kicking off at 00:10 (WAT) at Estadio Hidalgo. CF Pachuca are 8th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Necaxa sit 17th on 13 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
CF Pachuca's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Santos Laguna 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Necaxa's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Club America 2–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
CF Pachuca arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 March 2026, finished Pachuca 2–1 Necaxa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for CF Pachuca and 0.8 for Necaxa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was CF Pachuca to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: CF Pachuca 2–0 Necaxa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CF Pachuca66%fair 1.51 · @1.65
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @3.60
Necaxa15%fair 6.58 · @4.00
2.90Expected goals
2.05CF Pachuca xG
0.85Necaxa xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: CF Pachuca 2.1 – 0.8 Necaxa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is CF Pachuca to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win CF Pachuca vs Necaxa?
On our numbers CF Pachuca have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Necaxa 15%.
How many goals will there be in CF Pachuca vs Necaxa?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Pachuca vs Necaxa?
Our predicted score is CF Pachuca 2–0 Necaxa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is CF Pachuca vs Necaxa?
CF Pachuca vs Necaxa (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Hidalgo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
