Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Atletico San Luis or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Atletico San Luis to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico San Luis to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceAtletico San Luis or draw ✗85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.67
Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees Atletico San Luis take on Santos Laguna on Monday 12 October, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Libertad Financiera. Atletico San Luis are 14th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Santos Laguna sit 6th on 25 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Atletico San Luis's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Santos Laguna's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat CF Pachuca 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 April 2026, finished Atletico San Luis 2–0 Santos Laguna.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Atletico San Luis and 0.9 for Santos Laguna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico San Luis 63%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 15%.
Safer route: Atletico San Luis or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Atletico San Luis to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico San Luis or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atletico San Luis 1–0 Santos Laguna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico San Luis63%fair 1.58 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
Santos Laguna15%fair 6.73 · @3.40
2.85Expected goals
1.99Atletico San Luis xG
0.86Santos Laguna xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atletico San Luis 2.0 – 0.9 Santos Laguna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
Our pick is Atletico San Luis or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
On our numbers Atletico San Luis have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Santos Laguna 15%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
Our predicted score is Atletico San Luis 1–0 Santos Laguna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Libertad Financiera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
