Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Cruz Azul to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonterrey to win ✓39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.37
Monterrey vs Cruz Azul preview and prediction
The match
Cruz Azul travel to Estadio BBVA in the Liga MX on Sunday 20 September (02:10 WAT) to face Monterrey. Monterrey are 10th with 21 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Cruz Azul sit 1st on 32 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Monterrey's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Tigres UANL 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Cruz Azul's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Inter Miami 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Cruz Azul arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 March 2026, finished Cruz Azul 1–1 Monterrey. Across their last 3 meetings Monterrey have won 0, Cruz Azul 2, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.8 for Monterrey and 1.8 for Cruz Azul. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 64%.
Value angle: Cruz Azul to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Monterrey 1–1 Cruz Azul. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monterrey39%fair 2.58 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.25
Cruz Azul38%fair 2.61 · @2.80
3.53Expected goals
1.77Monterrey xG
1.76Cruz Azul xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Monterrey 1.8 – 1.8 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
On our numbers Monterrey have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cruz Azul 38%.
How many goals will there be in Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
Our predicted score is Monterrey 1–1 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
Monterrey vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 02:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio BBVA.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
