Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlas to win ✗39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas preview and prediction
The match
U.N.A.M. - Pumas travel to Estadio Jalisco in the Liga MX on Sunday 20 September (00:00 WAT) to face Atlas. Atlas are 5th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top half), while U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Atlas's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Toluca 2–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Guadalajara Chivas 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Atlas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Atlas and 1.5 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atlas 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlas39%fair 2.56 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.80
U.N.A.M. - Pumas35%fair 2.84 · @2.80
3.06Expected goals
1.57Atlas xG
1.49U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Atlas 1.6 – 1.5 U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlas to win✗
39%
2.56
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlas / FT Atlas✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.58
–
Form
Atlas – last 6
LDLWWW
13 Sep
@ Toluca
2–5
L
6 Sep
vs Atlante FC
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Club Queretaro
1–3
L
23 Aug
@ Cruz Azul
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Tigres UANL
2–1
W
12 Aug
@ FC Cincinnati
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas – last 6
LWLDDD
14 Sep
@ Guadalajara Chivas
0–3
L
11 Sep
vs Leon
3–1
W
29 Aug
@ Club Tijuana
0–2
L
24 Aug
vs Necaxa
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Club Queretaro
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Columbus Crew
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlas and U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
What is the prediction for Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
On our numbers Atlas have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 35%.
How many goals will there be in Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our predicted score is Atlas 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
