Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Necaxa to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNecaxa to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa preview and prediction
The match
Necaxa travel to Estadio Libertad Financiera in the Liga MX on Sunday 20 September (00:00 WAT) to face Atletico San Luis. Atletico San Luis are 14th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Necaxa sit 17th on 13 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Atletico San Luis's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Leon 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Necaxa's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Puebla 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Atletico San Luis and 1.4 for Necaxa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico San Luis 37%, draw 24%, Necaxa 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Necaxa to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Atletico San Luis 1–1 Necaxa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico San Luis37%fair 2.71 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.10
Necaxa39%fair 2.56 · @2.75
2.81Expected goals
1.38Atletico San Luis xG
1.43Necaxa xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–28%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Atletico San Luis 1.4 – 1.4 Necaxa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Necaxa to win✗
39%
2.56
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Necaxa / FT Necaxa✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.62
–
Form
Atletico San Luis – last 6
LLWDLD
15 Sep
@ Leon
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Guadalajara Chivas
0–3
L
31 Aug
@ Monterrey
3–1
W
24 Aug
vs CF Pachuca
1–1
D
17 Aug
@ Club America
0–3
L
13 Aug
@ Orlando City SC
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Necaxa – last 6
LDLDLW
12 Sep
vs Puebla
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Tigres UANL
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Cruz Azul
1–3
L
24 Aug
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1–1
D
18 Aug
vs Leon
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ New York City FC
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico San Luis and Necaxa.
What is the prediction for Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa?
On our numbers Atletico San Luis have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Necaxa 39%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa?
Our predicted score is Atletico San Luis 1–1 Necaxa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa?
Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Libertad Financiera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
