FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Hertha BSC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.35Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.70 – our chance 53% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +96%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓53% · @3.70
Double chanceHertha BSC or draw ✓81% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✓11% · fair 9.35
FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC preview and prediction
The match
The DFB Pokal sees FC Saarbrücken take on Hertha BSC on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Ludwigspark-Stadion.
Form guide
FC Saarbrücken's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hertha BSC's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat 1. FC Heidenheim 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for FC Saarbrücken and 1.7 for Hertha BSC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Saarbrücken 19%, draw 53%, Hertha BSC 28%.
Safer route: Hertha BSC or draw (81%) at 1.35.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Draw at 3.70 – 53% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hertha BSC or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.35, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Saarbrücken 1–1 Hertha BSC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Saarbrücken19%fair 5.35 · @3.10
Draw53%fair 1.89 · @3.70
Hertha BSC28%fair 3.51 · @2.02
3.12Expected goals
1.45FC Saarbrücken xG
1.67Hertha BSC xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: FC Saarbrücken 1.4 – 1.7 Hertha BSC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
53%
1.89
3.70 ▲
Double chance
Hertha BSC or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.35 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hertha BSC / FT Hertha BSC✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✓
11%
9.35
–
Form
FC Saarbrücken – last 6
WWDDDW
16 Aug
@ SSV Jahn Regensburg
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs Rot-Weiß Essen
5–2
W
26 Jul
@ VfR Aalen
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ FC Augsburg
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ SV Sandhausen
0–0
D
4 Jul
@ Quierschied
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Hertha BSC – last 6
WWDDLW
15 Aug
vs 1. FC Heidenheim
4–1
W
7 Aug
@ VfL Bochum
1–0
W
31 Jul
@ 1. FC Köln
2–2
D
21 Jul
vs Mamelodi Sundowns
1–1
D
17 Jul
@ WSG Wattens
2–3
L
11 Jul
@ Lokomotive Leipzig
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Saarbrücken and Hertha BSC.
What is the prediction for FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC?
Our pick is Hertha BSC or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC?
On our numbers FC Saarbrücken have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Hertha BSC 28%.
How many goals will there be in FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC?
Our predicted score is FC Saarbrücken 1–1 Hertha BSC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC?
FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC (DFB Pokal) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Ludwigspark-Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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