MSV Duisburg vs SV Elversberg prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
SV Elversberg to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.82 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.82Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSV Elversberg to win ✓63% · @1.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21
MSV Duisburg vs SV Elversberg preview and prediction
The match
SV Elversberg travel to Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena in the DFB Pokal on Saturday 22 August (14:30 WAT) to face MSV Duisburg.
Form guide
MSV Duisburg's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Verl 4–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
SV Elversberg's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Lorient 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.2 for MSV Duisburg and 2.2 for SV Elversberg. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was SV Elversberg to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.82, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: MSV Duisburg 1–2 SV Elversberg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MSV Duisburg23%fair 4.42 · @3.40
Draw14%fair 7.01 · @4.00
SV Elversberg63%fair 1.58 · @1.82
3.31Expected goals
1.15MSV Duisburg xG
2.15SV Elversberg xG
66%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: MSV Duisburg 1.2 – 2.2 SV Elversberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SV Elversberg to win✓
63%
1.58
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Half-time result
SV Elversberg ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SV Elversberg / FT SV Elversberg✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.21
–
Form
MSV Duisburg – last 6
WWDDLW
15 Aug
@ Verl
4–2
W
8 Aug
vs SV Meppen
3–0
W
1 Aug
@ Sparta Rotterdam
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Arminia Bielefeld
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Beerschot VA
2–4
L
18 Jul
@ Bonner SC
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
SV Elversberg – last 6
WDWWLD
15 Aug
vs Lorient
4–1
W
8 Aug
@ Mallorca
1–1
D
4 Aug
@ Strasbourg
5–2
W
25 Jul
@ NEC Nijmegen
1–0
W
17 Jul
@ FC Viktoria Köln
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ FC Thun
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MSV Duisburg and SV Elversberg.
What is the prediction for MSV Duisburg vs SV Elversberg?
Our pick is SV Elversberg to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.82.
Who will win MSV Duisburg vs SV Elversberg?
On our numbers MSV Duisburg have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 14% and SV Elversberg 63%.
How many goals will there be in MSV Duisburg vs SV Elversberg?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MSV Duisburg vs SV Elversberg?
Our predicted score is MSV Duisburg 1–2 SV Elversberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is MSV Duisburg vs SV Elversberg?
MSV Duisburg vs SV Elversberg (DFB Pokal) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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