Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAS Roma to win69% · @1.25
Double chanceAS Roma or draw86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.36
Parma vs AS Roma preview and prediction
The match
AS Roma travel to Stadio Ennio Tardini in the Serie A on Saturday 21 November (18:00 WAT) to face Parma. Parma are 16th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while AS Roma sit 3rd on 27 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Parma's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Bologna 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
AS Roma's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Sassuolo 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.5 per game.
AS Roma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.8 for Parma and 2.2 for AS Roma. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Parma 14%, draw 17%, AS Roma 69%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 57% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Prediction
The Footrivo pick: Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Parma 0–2 AS Roma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Parma14%fair 7.23 · @10.00
Draw17%fair 5.87 · @5.25
AS Roma69%fair 1.45 · @1.25
3.07Expected goals
0.82Parma xG
2.24AS Roma xG
57%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–110%
1–210%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%
From our goals model: Parma 0.8 – 2.2 AS Roma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Parma
AS Roma
Attack vs Serie A average
-31%
+66%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
-25%
Our expected goals here
0.80
2.29
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AS Roma to win
69%
1.45
1.25
Double chance
AS Roma or draw
86%
1.16
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.76
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
63%
1.60
1.53
Half-time result
AS Roma ahead at half-time
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AS Roma / FT AS Roma
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.36
–
Form
Parma – last 6
LWDLLL
7 Nov
vs Bologna
1–2
L
2 Nov
@ Atalanta
3–0
W
28 Oct
vs Udinese
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Lazio
1–2
L
19 Oct
vs Torino
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Inter
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
AS Roma – last 6
WLWWDW
7 Nov
vs Sassuolo
3–0
W
3 Nov
@ Manchester United
2–3
L
31 Oct
@ Udinese
5–2
W
27 Oct
vs Cagliari
4–2
W
24 Oct
@ Napoli
3–3
D
20 Oct
vs Slovan Bratislava
4–0
W
3.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and AS Roma.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Parma vs AS Roma?
On our numbers Parma have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 17% and AS Roma 69%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs AS Roma?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs AS Roma?
Our predicted score is Parma 0–2 AS Roma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Parma vs AS Roma?
Parma vs AS Roma (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
