Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultLazio to win70% · @1.36
Double chanceLazio or draw87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.43
Lazio vs Lecce preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Lazio take on Lecce on Saturday 21 November, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Olimpico. Lazio are 1st with 29 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Lecce sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lazio's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Napoli 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Lecce's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Torino 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Lazio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.4 for Lazio and 0.9 for Lecce. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lazio 70%, draw 17%, Lecce 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our prediction: Lazio to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Lazio 2–0 Lecce. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lazio70%fair 1.43 · @1.36
Draw17%fair 5.77 · @4.75
Lecce13%fair 7.77 · @8.00
3.24Expected goals
2.36Lazio xG
0.88Lecce xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Lazio 2.4 – 0.9 Lecce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Lazio
Lecce
Attack vs Serie A average
+33%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-24%
+23%
Our expected goals here
2.54
0.91
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lazio to win
70%
1.43
1.36
Double chance
Lazio or draw
87%
1.15
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
61%
1.65
1.53
Half-time result
Lazio ahead at half-time
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lazio / FT Lazio
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.43
–
Form
Lazio – last 6
DWWWWW
8 Nov
@ Napoli
1–1
D
1 Nov
vs Cagliari
2–1
W
27 Oct
@ Sassuolo
6–2
W
24 Oct
vs Parma
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Juventus
3–0
W
11 Oct
vs Monza
3–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lecce – last 6
DLLLWL
7 Nov
@ Torino
1–1
D
1 Nov
vs Genoa
1–2
L
29 Oct
@ Frosinone
1–5
L
25 Oct
vs Juventus
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Udinese
3–0
W
11 Oct
vs Bologna
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lazio and Lecce.
Our pick is Lazio to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Lazio vs Lecce?
On our numbers Lazio have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Lecce 13%.
How many goals will there be in Lazio vs Lecce?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lazio vs Lecce?
Our predicted score is Lazio 2–0 Lecce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lazio vs Lecce?
Lazio vs Lecce (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
