Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultComo to win67% · @1.33
Double chanceComo or draw88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–08% · fair 12.05
Como vs Cagliari preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Como take on Cagliari on Saturday 21 November, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. Como are 5th with 23 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Cagliari sit 9th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Como's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Inter 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Cagliari's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Frosinone 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Como arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Como and 0.7 for Cagliari. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Como 67%, draw 21%, Cagliari 12%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Not both teams to score at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our prediction: Under 3.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Como 1–0 Cagliari. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Como67%fair 1.49 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.75
Cagliari12%fair 8.25 · @8.50
2.55Expected goals
1.85Como xG
0.69Cagliari xG
44%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Como 1.9 – 0.7 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Como
Cagliari
Attack vs Serie A average
+11%
-27%
Goals conceded vs average
-38%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.58
0.64
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Como to win
67%
1.49
1.33
Double chance
Como or draw
88%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
56%
1.78
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.31
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.87
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.46
1.53
Half-time result
Como ahead at half-time
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Como / FT Como
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0
8%
12.05
–
Form
Como – last 6
LWWWWW
8 Nov
@ Inter
0–2
L
4 Nov
@ Lens
9–1
W
1 Nov
vs Venezia
1–0
W
27 Oct
@ Torino
3–1
W
24 Oct
vs Sassuolo
2–0
W
21 Oct
vs Manchester United
4–1
W
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cagliari – last 6
WLLLLD
7 Nov
vs Frosinone
1–0
W
1 Nov
@ Lazio
1–2
L
27 Oct
@ AS Roma
2–4
L
24 Oct
vs Bologna
0–2
L
19 Oct
@ Monza
0–4
L
11 Oct
vs Juventus
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Como and Cagliari.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Como vs Cagliari?
On our numbers Como have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cagliari 12%.
How many goals will there be in Como vs Cagliari?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Como vs Cagliari?
Our predicted score is Como 1–0 Cagliari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Como vs Cagliari?
Como vs Cagliari (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
