Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGenoa to win ✓45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Lecce vs Genoa preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Lecce take on Genoa on Sunday 1 November, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadio Via del Mare. Lecce are 14th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Genoa sit 13th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lecce's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Frosinone 1–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Genoa's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Juventus 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Genoa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Lecce 1–0 Genoa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Lecce and 1.5 for Genoa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lecce 31%, draw 23%, Genoa 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lecce 1–1 Genoa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lecce31%fair 3.20 · @3.25
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.00
Genoa45%fair 2.21 · @2.25
2.78Expected goals
1.23Lecce xG
1.55Genoa xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Lecce 1.2 – 1.5 Genoa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Lecce vs Genoa?
On our numbers Lecce have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Genoa 45%.
How many goals will there be in Lecce vs Genoa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lecce vs Genoa?
Our predicted score is Lecce 1–1 Genoa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lecce vs Genoa?
Lecce vs Genoa (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Via del Mare.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
