Serie A · Italy · Allianz StadiumJuventus vs Napoli prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Napoli to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Juventus 1.4 – 1.3 Napoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Juventus and Napoli on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Juventus have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Napoli have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.4 for Juventus, 1.3 for Napoli). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.74. For a bigger price, Napoli to win at 3.10 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Juventus to win ✓ | 39% | 2.56 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.74 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.32 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Juventus / FT Juventus ✗ | 22% | 4.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 9% | 10.98 | – |
Form
Juventus – last 6
| 28 Oct | @ Genoa | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ Lecce | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | vs Rennes | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Lazio | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Oct | @ Celta Vigo | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Cagliari | 1–1 | D |
Napoli – last 6
| 28 Oct | @ Monza | 4–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs AS Roma | 3–3 | D |
| 20 Oct | vs BodoGlimt | 4–3 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Venezia | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Oct | @ Villarreal | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Frosinone | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventus and Napoli.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 11 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Inter | 11 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 11 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  Como | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 11 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Bologna | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 11 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Torino | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 11 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 |  Parma | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 11 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | -13 | 5 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Juventus vs Napoli?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Juventus vs Napoli?
On our numbers Juventus have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Napoli 37%.
How many goals will there be in Juventus vs Napoli?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Juventus vs Napoli?
Juventus vs Napoli (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.