Serie A · Italy · Stadio OlimpicoLazio vs Cagliari prediction & analysis
Lazio to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lazio 2.1 – 0.7 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Lazio are clear favourites at home with a 71% chance of winning, against 11% for Cagliari.
Lazio have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 3.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Cagliari have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. Lazio come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (2.1 for Lazio, 0.7 for Cagliari). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (14%), 1–0 (13%), 3–0 (10%).
Our pick is Lazio to win at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is better than our fair price of 1.41, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lazio to win ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | Lazio or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.44 | – |
| Half-time result | Lazio ahead at half-time ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lazio / FT Lazio ✗ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.29 | – |
Form
Lazio – last 6
| 27 Oct | @ Sassuolo | 6–2 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Parma | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Juventus | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Monza | 3–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Juve Stabia | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Venezia | 2–0 | W |
Cagliari – last 6
| 27 Oct | @ AS Roma | 2–4 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Bologna | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | @ Monza | 0–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Juventus | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Udinese | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Atalanta | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lazio and Cagliari.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 11 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Inter | 11 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 11 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  Como | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 11 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Bologna | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 11 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Torino | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 11 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 |  Parma | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 11 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | -13 | 5 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lazio vs Cagliari?
Our pick is Lazio to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Lazio vs Cagliari?
On our numbers Lazio have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Cagliari 11%.
How many goals will there be in Lazio vs Cagliari?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Lazio vs Cagliari?
Lazio vs Cagliari (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.