Udinese travel to Ennio Tardini in the Serie A on Wednesday 28 October (18:30 WAT) to face Parma. Parma are 16th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Udinese sit 20th on 5 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Parma's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Lazio 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Udinese's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to AC Milan 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Parma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Parma and 1.5 for Udinese. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Parma 34%, draw 25%, Udinese 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.79, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Parma 1–1 Udinese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Parma34%fair 2.92 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.00
Udinese40%fair 2.48 · @2.62
2.94Expected goals
1.40Parma xG
1.54Udinese xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Parma 1.4 – 1.5 Udinese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Udinese to win✗
40%
2.48
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Udinese / FT Udinese✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.41
–
Form
Parma – last 6
LLLWLD
24 Oct
@ Lazio
1–2
L
19 Oct
vs Torino
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Inter
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Genoa
2–1
W
14 Sep
@ Como
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Monza
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Udinese – last 6
LLLDLL
25 Oct
vs AC Milan
0–2
L
18 Oct
vs Lecce
0–3
L
12 Oct
@ Torino
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Pogon Szczecin
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Cagliari
0–1
L
14 Sep
@ Inter
3–5
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and Udinese.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Parma vs Udinese?
On our numbers Parma have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Udinese 40%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs Udinese?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs Udinese?
Our predicted score is Parma 1–1 Udinese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Parma vs Udinese?
Parma vs Udinese (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Ennio Tardini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
