Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAC Milan to win ✗61% · @1.67
Double chanceAC Milan or draw ✗82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.37
AC Milan vs Bologna preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees AC Milan take on Bologna on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza. AC Milan are 4th with 24 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Bologna sit 8th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
AC Milan's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Udinese 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bologna's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Cagliari 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
AC Milan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for AC Milan and 0.8 for Bologna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AC Milan 61%, draw 22%, Bologna 18%.
Safer route: AC Milan or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AC Milan to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: AC Milan 1–0 Bologna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AC Milan61%fair 1.65 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.70
Bologna18%fair 5.71 · @4.60
2.56Expected goals
1.75AC Milan xG
0.81Bologna xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: AC Milan 1.8 – 0.8 Bologna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AC Milan to win✗
61%
1.65
1.67
Double chance
AC Milan or draw✗
82%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Half-time result
AC Milan ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AC Milan / FT AC Milan✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.37
–
Form
AC Milan – last 6
WLWWDW
25 Oct
@ Udinese
2–0
W
22 Oct
@ Bournemouth
0–3
L
18 Oct
vs Atalanta
3–2
W
15 Oct
@ Red Bull Salzburg
4–0
W
11 Oct
@ Sassuolo
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Lecce
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bologna – last 6
WLWDLD
24 Oct
@ Cagliari
2–0
W
17 Oct
vs Inter
1–3
L
11 Oct
@ Lecce
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Torino
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Napoli
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Sassuolo
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AC Milan and Bologna.
Our pick is AC Milan to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win AC Milan vs Bologna?
On our numbers AC Milan have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bologna 18%.
How many goals will there be in AC Milan vs Bologna?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AC Milan vs Bologna?
Our predicted score is AC Milan 1–0 Bologna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AC Milan vs Bologna?
AC Milan vs Bologna (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
