Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultInter to win ✓69% · @1.33
Double chanceInter or draw ✓91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.52
Inter vs Fiorentina preview and prediction
The match
Fiorentina travel to San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza in the Serie A on Sunday 25 October (12:30 WAT) to face Inter. Inter are 2nd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Fiorentina sit 15th on 9 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Inter's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Fiorentina's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Como 1–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Inter arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.8 for Inter and 1.1 for Fiorentina. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Inter 69%, draw 22%, Fiorentina 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Inter 2–1 Fiorentina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Inter69%fair 1.45 · @1.33
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @5.00
Fiorentina9%fair 11.10 · @7.50
3.93Expected goals
2.81Inter xG
1.12Fiorentina xG
64%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Inter 2.8 – 1.1 Fiorentina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter to win✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Double chance
Inter or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.65 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Inter ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter / FT Inter✗
50%
2.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.52
–
Form
Inter – last 6
WWLWDW
21 Oct
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
1–0
W
17 Oct
@ Bologna
3–1
W
13 Oct
vs Club Brugge KV
3–4
L
10 Oct
vs Parma
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ AS Roma
2–2
D
14 Sep
vs Udinese
5–3
W
2.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fiorentina – last 6
LLDWWL
18 Oct
vs Como
1–3
L
10 Oct
@ Genoa
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Napoli
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Pisa
3–0
W
11 Sep
@ Venezia
4–2
W
5 Sep
vs Torino
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter and Fiorentina.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Inter vs Fiorentina?
On our numbers Inter have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fiorentina 9%.
How many goals will there be in Inter vs Fiorentina?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter vs Fiorentina?
Our predicted score is Inter 2–1 Fiorentina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Inter vs Fiorentina?
Inter vs Fiorentina (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
