Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtalanta to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceAtalanta or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Atalanta vs Frosinone preview and prediction
The match
Frosinone travel to New Balance Arena in the Serie A on Sunday 25 October (15:00 WAT) to face Atalanta. Atalanta are 12th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Frosinone sit 6th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Atalanta's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Ajax 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Frosinone's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Sassuolo 4–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Frosinone arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Atalanta and 1.1 for Frosinone. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Atalanta or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Atalanta 2–1 Frosinone. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atalanta60%fair 1.68 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.90
Frosinone19%fair 5.24 · @3.80
3.07Expected goals
2.02Atalanta xG
1.05Frosinone xG
65%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Atalanta 2.0 – 1.1 Frosinone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atalanta to win✗
60%
1.68
1.75
Double chance
Atalanta or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Atalanta ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atalanta / FT Atalanta✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Atalanta – last 6
LLWWLL
22 Oct
@ Ajax
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ AC Milan
2–3
L
15 Oct
vs Pafos
3–1
W
12 Oct
vs Venezia
3–1
W
20 Sep
@ Juventus
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Cagliari
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Frosinone – last 6
WLWWDW
16 Oct
vs Sassuolo
4–2
W
10 Oct
@ Napoli
0–3
L
2 Oct
vs Benevento
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Como
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Genoa
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Venezia
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atalanta and Frosinone.
Our pick is Atalanta or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atalanta vs Frosinone?
On our numbers Atalanta have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Frosinone 19%.
How many goals will there be in Atalanta vs Frosinone?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Frosinone?
Our predicted score is Atalanta 2–1 Frosinone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Atalanta vs Frosinone?
Atalanta vs Frosinone (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at New Balance Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
