Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Venezia to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGenoa to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.96
Genoa vs Venezia preview and prediction
The match
Venezia travel to Luigi Ferraris in the Serie A on Sunday 25 October (15:00 WAT) to face Genoa. Genoa are 13th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Venezia sit 19th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Genoa's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to AS Roma 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Venezia's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Napoli 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Genoa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Genoa and 1.3 for Venezia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Genoa 45%, draw 22%, Venezia 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Venezia to win at 3.50 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Genoa 1–1 Venezia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Genoa45%fair 2.21 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.10
Venezia32%fair 3.09 · @3.50
2.86Expected goals
1.57Genoa xG
1.29Venezia xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Genoa 1.6 – 1.3 Venezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Genoa to win✓
45%
2.21
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Genoa / FT Genoa✓
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.96
–
Form
Genoa – last 6
LWLLWD
17 Oct
@ AS Roma
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Fiorentina
2–1
W
2 Oct
@ Rapid
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Parma
1–2
L
15 Sep
vs Sudtirol
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Frosinone
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Venezia – last 6
WLLLLL
17 Oct
vs Napoli
1–0
W
12 Oct
@ Atalanta
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Lazio
0–2
L
11 Sep
vs Fiorentina
2–4
L
6 Sep
@ Frosinone
2–3
L
2 Sep
@ Udinese
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Genoa and Venezia.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Genoa vs Venezia?
On our numbers Genoa have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Venezia 32%.
How many goals will there be in Genoa vs Venezia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Venezia?
Our predicted score is Genoa 1–1 Venezia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Genoa vs Venezia?
Genoa vs Venezia (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Luigi Ferraris.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
