Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Udinese to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUdinese to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceUdinese or draw ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Udinese vs Lecce preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Udinese take on Lecce on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Bluenergy Stadium. Udinese are 20th with 5 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Lecce sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Udinese's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Torino 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Lecce's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Bologna 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Udinese and 1.2 for Lecce. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Udinese 60%, draw 22%, Lecce 18%.
Safer route: Udinese or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Udinese to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Udinese or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Udinese 2–1 Lecce. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Udinese60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.40
Lecce18%fair 5.48 · @4.20
3.33Expected goals
2.18Udinese xG
1.15Lecce xG
54%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Udinese 2.2 – 1.2 Lecce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Udinese to win✗
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Udinese or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Udinese ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Udinese / FT Udinese✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Form
Udinese – last 6
LDLLLW
12 Oct
@ Torino
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Pogon Szczecin
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Cagliari
0–1
L
14 Sep
@ Inter
3–5
L
7 Sep
vs Lazio
1–2
L
2 Sep
vs Venezia
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lecce – last 6
LLWLLW
11 Oct
vs Bologna
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ AC Milan
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Monza
3–2
W
7 Sep
@ Cagliari
0–1
L
31 Aug
vs AS Roma
0–4
L
23 Aug
@ Venezia
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Udinese and Lecce.
Our pick is Udinese or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Udinese vs Lecce?
On our numbers Udinese have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lecce 18%.
How many goals will there be in Udinese vs Lecce?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Lecce?
Our predicted score is Udinese 2–1 Lecce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Udinese vs Lecce?
Udinese vs Lecce (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Bluenergy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
