Serie A · Italy · Stadio Artemio FranchiFiorentina vs Como prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Fiorentina 1.3 – 1.7 Como expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Como shade it despite being away from home – 50% to win, against 29% for Fiorentina.
Fiorentina have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 per game. Como have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.3 for Fiorentina, 1.7 for Como). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.63.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Como to win ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.63 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 39% | 2.54 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Como / FT Como ✓ | 30% | 3.37 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.54 | – |
Form
Fiorentina – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Genoa | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Napoli | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | vs Pisa | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | @ Venezia | 4–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Torino | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Frosinone | 0–3 | L |
Como – last 6
| 14 Oct | @ Feyenoord | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs AS Roma | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Frosinone | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | vs Parma | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Sep | vs RB Leipzig | 4–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ Genoa | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiorentina and Como.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 11 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Inter | 11 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 11 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  Como | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 11 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Bologna | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 11 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Torino | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 11 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 |  Parma | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 11 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | -13 | 5 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fiorentina vs Como?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Como?
On our numbers Fiorentina have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Como 50%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentina vs Como?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Fiorentina vs Como?
Fiorentina vs Como (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.