The Serie A sees Napoli take on Frosinone on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Maradona Stadium. Napoli are 10th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Frosinone sit 6th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Napoli's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Fiorentina 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Frosinone's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Benevento 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Frosinone arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Napoli and 0.7 for Frosinone. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Napoli 69%, draw 17%, Frosinone 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Napoli to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Napoli 1–0 Frosinone. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Napoli69%fair 1.45 · @1.44
Draw17%fair 5.85 · @4.50
Frosinone14%fair 7.19 · @6.00
2.60Expected goals
1.93Napoli xG
0.67Frosinone xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Napoli 1.9 – 0.7 Frosinone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napoli to win✓
69%
1.45
1.44
Double chance
Napoli or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Napoli ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napoli / FT Napoli✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.98
–
Form
Napoli – last 6
DWLLLW
20 Sep
@ Fiorentina
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Bologna
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Arsenal
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Inter
2–3
L
30 Aug
vs Como
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Genoa
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Frosinone – last 6
WWDWDW
2 Oct
vs Benevento
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Como
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Genoa
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Venezia
3–2
W
2 Sep
@ Sassuolo
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Fiorentina
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napoli and Frosinone.
Our pick is Napoli to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Napoli vs Frosinone?
On our numbers Napoli have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Frosinone 14%.
How many goals will there be in Napoli vs Frosinone?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Frosinone?
Our predicted score is Napoli 1–0 Frosinone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Napoli vs Frosinone?
Napoli vs Frosinone (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Maradona Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
