The Serie A sees Inter take on Parma on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza. Inter are 2nd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Parma sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Inter's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with AS Roma 2–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Parma's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Genoa 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Inter arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Inter and 1.0 for Parma. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Inter 72%, draw 14%, Parma 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.10.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.78, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Inter 2–1 Parma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Inter72%fair 1.39 · @1.14
Draw14%fair 7.08 · @8.50
Parma14%fair 7.06 · @15.00
3.40Expected goals
2.45Inter xG
0.95Parma xG
56%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
3–08%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Inter 2.4 – 1.0 Parma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter to win✓
72%
1.39
1.14
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Inter ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter / FT Inter✓
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.99
–
Form
Inter – last 6
DWLWWW
19 Sep
@ AS Roma
2–2
D
14 Sep
vs Udinese
5–3
W
8 Sep
@ Real Madrid
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Napoli
3–2
W
30 Aug
@ Cagliari
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Monza
4–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Parma – last 6
WLDLLL
20 Sep
vs Genoa
2–1
W
14 Sep
@ Como
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Monza
1–1
D
1 Sep
vs Cremonese
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Juventus
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Cagliari
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter and Parma.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Inter vs Parma?
On our numbers Inter have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Parma 14%.
How many goals will there be in Inter vs Parma?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter vs Parma?
Our predicted score is Inter 2–1 Parma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Inter vs Parma?
Inter vs Parma (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
