Value bet: Cagliari to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUdinese to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Udinese vs Cagliari preview and prediction
The match
Udinese host Cagliari in the Serie A on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Bluenergy Stadium. Udinese are 20th with 5 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Cagliari sit 9th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Udinese's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Inter 3–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Cagliari's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Atalanta 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Udinese and 1.4 for Cagliari. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Udinese 42%, draw 24%, Cagliari 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Cagliari to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.78, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Udinese 1–1 Cagliari. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Udinese42%fair 2.38 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.20
Cagliari34%fair 2.95 · @3.25
3.00Expected goals
1.59Udinese xG
1.41Cagliari xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Udinese 1.6 – 1.4 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Udinese to win✗
42%
2.38
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Udinese / FT Udinese✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.26
–
Form
Udinese – last 6
LLWWDW
14 Sep
@ Inter
3–5
L
7 Sep
vs Lazio
1–2
L
2 Sep
vs Venezia
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Monza
3–2
W
22 Aug
vs Como
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Padova
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cagliari – last 6
WWLLWW
12 Sep
@ Atalanta
2–1
W
7 Sep
vs Lecce
1–0
W
3 Sep
vs Hellas Verona
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Inter
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Parma
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Arezzo
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Udinese and Cagliari.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Udinese vs Cagliari?
On our numbers Udinese have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cagliari 34%.
How many goals will there be in Udinese vs Cagliari?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Cagliari?
Our predicted score is Udinese 1–1 Cagliari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Udinese vs Cagliari?
Udinese vs Cagliari (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Bluenergy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
