Serie A · Italy · Stadio Pierluigi PenzoVenezia vs Lazio prediction & analysis
Lazio or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Lazio to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Venezia 0.9 – 2.1 Lazio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Lazio travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 16% for Venezia.
Venezia have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.5 per game. Lazio have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. Lazio come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (0.9 for Venezia, 2.1 for Lazio). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–2 (11%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%).
Our pick is Lazio or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Lazio to win at 1.91 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lazio to win ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Lazio or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Lazio ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lazio / FT Lazio ✗ | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–2 ✓ | 11% | 9.40 | – |
Form
Venezia – last 6
| 11 Sep | vs Fiorentina | 2–4 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Frosinone | 2–3 | L |
| 2 Sep | @ Udinese | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ AC Milan | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Lecce | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Modena | 3–2 | W |
Lazio – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs AC Milan | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Sep | @ Udinese | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Genoa | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | @ Bologna | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Mantova | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Aug | @ Frosinone | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Venezia and Lazio.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 11 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Inter | 11 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 11 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  Como | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 11 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Bologna | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 11 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Torino | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 11 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 |  Parma | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 11 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | -13 | 5 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Venezia vs Lazio?
Our pick is Lazio or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Venezia vs Lazio?
On our numbers Venezia have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lazio 64%.
How many goals will there be in Venezia vs Lazio?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Venezia vs Lazio?
Venezia vs Lazio (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.