Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Bologna to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBologna to win ✗64% · @1.91
Double chanceBologna or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.74
Bologna vs Torino preview and prediction
The match
Bologna host Torino in the Serie A on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Renato Dall'Ara. Bologna are 8th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Torino sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bologna's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Napoli 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Torino's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to AS Roma 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Torino arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Torino 1–2 Bologna.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Bologna and 0.6 for Torino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bologna 64%, draw 23%, Torino 14%.
Safer route: Bologna or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Bologna to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bologna or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bologna 1–0 Torino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bologna64%fair 1.57 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Torino14%fair 7.40 · @3.80
2.25Expected goals
1.65Bologna xG
0.60Torino xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Bologna 1.7 – 0.6 Torino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Bologna or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bologna vs Torino?
On our numbers Bologna have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Torino 14%.
How many goals will there be in Bologna vs Torino?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bologna vs Torino?
Our predicted score is Bologna 1–0 Torino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bologna vs Torino?
Bologna vs Torino (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Renato Dall'Ara.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
