Value bet: AC Milan to win @ 3.50 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventus to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.65
Juventus vs AC Milan preview and prediction
The match
AC Milan travel to Allianz Stadium in the Serie A on Sunday 6 September (19:45 WAT) to face Juventus. Juventus are 7th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while AC Milan sit 4th on 24 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Juventus's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Parma 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AC Milan's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Venezia 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Juventus arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Juventus and 0.9 for AC Milan. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Juventus 45%, draw 22%, AC Milan 33%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.91.
Value angle: AC Milan to win at 3.50 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Juventus 1–0 AC Milan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juventus45%fair 2.24 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.10
AC Milan33%fair 3.03 · @3.50
2.00Expected goals
1.11Juventus xG
0.89AC Milan xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Juventus 1.1 – 0.9 AC Milan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventus to win✗
45%
2.24
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventus / FT Juventus✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.65
–
Form
Juventus – last 6
WWWLWW
29 Aug
vs Parma
2–0
W
23 Aug
@ Frosinone
1–0
W
11 Aug
vs Palermo
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Inter
1–2
L
5 Aug
@ Chelsea
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Nice
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
AC Milan – last 6
WWWLDD
28 Aug
vs Venezia
2–0
W
23 Aug
@ Torino
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Manchester United
4–2
W
8 Aug
@ Chelsea
0–3
L
5 Aug
vs Inter
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Celtic
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventus and AC Milan.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Juventus vs AC Milan?
On our numbers Juventus have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AC Milan 33%.
How many goals will there be in Juventus vs AC Milan?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventus vs AC Milan?
Our predicted score is Juventus 1–0 AC Milan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Juventus vs AC Milan?
Juventus vs AC Milan (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
