Value bet: Frosinone to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFrosinone to win ✓42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.94
Frosinone vs Venezia preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Frosinone take on Venezia on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Benito Stirpe. Frosinone are 6th with 20 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Venezia sit 19th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Frosinone's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Sassuolo 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Venezia's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Udinese 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Frosinone arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Frosinone and 0.9 for Venezia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Frosinone 42%, draw 24%, Venezia 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Frosinone to win at 2.62 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Frosinone 1–1 Venezia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Frosinone42%fair 2.41 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.30
Venezia35%fair 2.88 · @2.50
2.00Expected goals
1.06Frosinone xG
0.94Venezia xG
56%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Frosinone 1.1 – 0.9 Venezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Frosinone to win✓
42%
2.41
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.94
–
Form
Frosinone – last 6
DWLWLD
2 Sep
@ Sassuolo
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Fiorentina
3–0
W
23 Aug
vs Juventus
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Juve Stabia
4–1
W
9 Aug
vs Lazio
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Benevento
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Venezia – last 6
LLLWDL
2 Sep
@ Udinese
1–2
L
28 Aug
@ AC Milan
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs Lecce
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Modena
3–2
W
8 Aug
@ Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Saint Etienne
3–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Frosinone and Venezia.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Frosinone vs Venezia?
On our numbers Frosinone have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Venezia 35%.
How many goals will there be in Frosinone vs Venezia?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Frosinone vs Venezia?
Our predicted score is Frosinone 1–1 Venezia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Frosinone vs Venezia?
Frosinone vs Venezia (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Benito Stirpe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
