Serie A · Italy · Stadio Ennio TardiniParma vs Monza prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Parma 1.8 – 1.5 Monza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Parma hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 32% for Monza.
Parma have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.3 per game. Monza have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.8 for Parma, 1.5 for Monza). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.00 is better than our fair price of 1.73, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Parma to win ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | 2.50 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 2.00 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 38% | 2.65 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Parma / FT Parma ✗ | 27% | 3.68 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.11 | – |
Form
Parma – last 6
| 1 Sep | vs Cremonese | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Juventus | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Cagliari | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Aug | vs Catania | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | vs Sampdoria | 0–2 | L |
| 2 Aug | vs Iraklis 1908 | 1–1 | D |
Monza – last 6
| 1 Sep | @ Torino | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Udinese | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Inter | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Aug | vs Avellino | 3–0 | W |
| 7 Aug | vs Padova | 3–3 | D |
| 30 Jul | vs Aris Thessalonikis | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and Monza.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 11 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Inter | 11 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 11 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  Como | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 11 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Bologna | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 11 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Torino | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 11 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 |  Parma | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 11 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | -13 | 5 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Parma vs Monza?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Parma vs Monza?
On our numbers Parma have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Monza 32%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs Monza?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Parma vs Monza?
Parma vs Monza (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.