Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultInter to win ✓67% · @1.65
Double chanceInter or draw ✓89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.55
Inter vs Napoli preview and prediction
The match
Napoli travel to face Inter in the Serie A on Saturday 5 September (17:00 WAT). Inter are 2nd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Napoli sit 10th on 15 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Inter's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Cagliari 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Napoli's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Como 1–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Inter and 0.7 for Napoli. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Inter 67%, draw 22%, Napoli 11%.
Safer route: Inter or draw (89%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Inter to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Inter 2–0 Napoli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Inter67%fair 1.49 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.50
Napoli11%fair 9.36 · @5.00
2.75Expected goals
2.04Inter xG
0.71Napoli xG
48%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
3–16%
From our goals model: Inter 2.0 – 0.7 Napoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter to win✓
67%
1.49
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Inter or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Inter ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter / FT Inter✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.55
–
Form
Inter – last 6
WWWWDD
30 Aug
@ Cagliari
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Monza
4–1
W
15 Aug
vs Real Betis
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Juventus
2–1
W
5 Aug
@ AC Milan
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Manchester City
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Napoli – last 6
LWWDWW
30 Aug
vs Como
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Genoa
2–0
W
12 Aug
vs Aris Thessalonikis
6–2
W
8 Aug
vs Celta Vigo
1–1
D
5 Aug
vs Osasuna
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Carrarese
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter and Napoli.
Our pick is Inter to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Inter vs Napoli?
On our numbers Inter have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Napoli 11%.
How many goals will there be in Inter vs Napoli?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter vs Napoli?
Our predicted score is Inter 2–0 Napoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Inter vs Napoli?
Inter vs Napoli (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
