Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Fiorentina to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFiorentina to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceFiorentina or draw ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Fiorentina vs Torino preview and prediction
The match
Fiorentina host Torino in the Serie A on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Fiorentina are 15th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Torino sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Fiorentina's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Frosinone 0–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Torino's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Monza 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Fiorentina and 1.2 for Torino. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fiorentina 58%, draw 22%, Torino 20%.
Safer route: Fiorentina or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Fiorentina to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fiorentina or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Fiorentina 2–1 Torino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fiorentina58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30
Torino20%fair 5.02 · @3.75
3.25Expected goals
2.08Fiorentina xG
1.17Torino xG
55%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Fiorentina 2.1 – 1.2 Torino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fiorentina to win✗
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Fiorentina or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Fiorentina ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fiorentina / FT Fiorentina✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Form
Fiorentina – last 6
LLWDDW
29 Aug
vs Frosinone
0–3
L
24 Aug
@ AS Roma
0–4
L
14 Aug
vs Benevento
4–1
W
6 Aug
vs Deportivo La Coruna
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Real Madrid
2–2
D
29 Jul
@ Watford
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Torino – last 6
LLLWDW
1 Sep
vs Monza
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Sassuolo
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs AC Milan
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Carrarese
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Avellino
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Burnley
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiorentina and Torino.
Our pick is Fiorentina or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Torino?
On our numbers Fiorentina have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Torino 20%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentina vs Torino?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Torino?
Our predicted score is Fiorentina 2–1 Torino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Fiorentina vs Torino?
Fiorentina vs Torino (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
