Monza host Udinese in the Serie A on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT). Monza are 18th with 7 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Udinese sit 20th on 5 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Monza's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Inter 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Udinese's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Como 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Monza and 1.6 for Udinese. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 50% and both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monza 33%, draw 23%, Udinese 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.90.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.36, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Monza 1–1 Udinese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monza33%fair 3.02 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.10
Udinese44%fair 2.26 · @2.34
2.95Expected goals
1.35Monza xG
1.60Udinese xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Monza 1.3 – 1.6 Udinese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Udinese to win✓
44%
2.26
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Udinese / FT Udinese✓
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.05
–
Form
Monza – last 6
LWDLWW
22 Aug
@ Inter
1–4
L
14 Aug
vs Avellino
3–0
W
7 Aug
vs Padova
3–3
D
30 Jul
vs Aris Thessalonikis
1–3
L
24 Jul
@ Galatasaray
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs PRO Vercelli
4–3
W
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Udinese – last 6
DWWWLD
22 Aug
vs Como
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Padova
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Barcelona
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Nottingham Forest
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Trabzonspor
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs FSV Mainz 05
3–3
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monza and Udinese.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Monza vs Udinese?
On our numbers Monza have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Udinese 44%.
How many goals will there be in Monza vs Udinese?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monza vs Udinese?
Our predicted score is Monza 1–1 Udinese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Monza vs Udinese?
Monza vs Udinese (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
