Value bet: Fiorentina to win @ 1.63 – our chance 66% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFiorentina to win ✗66% · @1.63
Double chanceFiorentina or draw ✗85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.37
Fiorentina vs Frosinone preview and prediction
The match
Fiorentina host Frosinone in the Serie A on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Fiorentina are 15th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Frosinone sit 6th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Fiorentina's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to AS Roma 0–4 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Frosinone's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Juventus 0–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Fiorentina and 0.7 for Frosinone. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Fiorentina to win at 1.63 – 66% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Fiorentina 2–0 Frosinone. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fiorentina66%fair 1.52 · @1.63
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.90
Frosinone15%fair 6.88 · @5.00
2.64Expected goals
1.90Fiorentina xG
0.74Frosinone xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fiorentina 1.9 – 0.7 Frosinone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fiorentina to win✗
66%
1.52
1.63 ▲
Double chance
Fiorentina or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.38
Half-time result
Fiorentina ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fiorentina / FT Fiorentina✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.37
–
Form
Fiorentina – last 6
LWDDWL
24 Aug
@ AS Roma
0–4
L
14 Aug
vs Benevento
4–1
W
6 Aug
vs Deportivo La Coruna
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Real Madrid
2–2
D
29 Jul
@ Watford
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ QPR
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Frosinone – last 6
LWLDDW
23 Aug
vs Juventus
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Juve Stabia
4–1
W
9 Aug
vs Lazio
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Benevento
2–2
D
29 Jul
vs Sambenedettese
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Ascoli
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiorentina and Frosinone.
What is the prediction for Fiorentina vs Frosinone?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Frosinone?
On our numbers Fiorentina have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Frosinone 15%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentina vs Frosinone?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Frosinone?
Our predicted score is Fiorentina 2–0 Frosinone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fiorentina vs Frosinone?
Fiorentina vs Frosinone (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
