Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Millonarios to win @ 1.90 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMillonarios to win ✗65% · @1.90
Double chanceMillonarios or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.80
Millonarios vs Bucaramanga preview and prediction
The match
Millonarios host Bucaramanga in the Primera A on Sunday 26 July, with kick-off at 00:10 (WAT) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin. Millonarios are 7th with 27 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Bucaramanga sit 4th on 32 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Millonarios's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Colo Colo 0–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Bucaramanga's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Alianza Valledupar 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Millonarios and 0.7 for Bucaramanga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Millonarios to win at 1.90 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Millonarios or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Millonarios 1–0 Bucaramanga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Millonarios65%fair 1.54 · @1.90
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.30
Bucaramanga15%fair 6.74 · @4.10
2.51Expected goals
1.81Millonarios xG
0.70Bucaramanga xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Millonarios 1.8 – 0.7 Bucaramanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millonarios to win✗
65%
1.54
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Millonarios or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Millonarios ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millonarios / FT Millonarios✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.80
–
Form
Millonarios – last 6
LLWLDW
19 Jul
vs Colo Colo
0–1
L
11 Jul
@ Universitario
0–2
L
30 May
@ Depor FC
8–1
W
26 May
vs O'Higgins
1–2
L
20 May
@ Sao Paulo
1–1
D
16 May
@ Patriotas
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bucaramanga – last 6
LLLWLW
24 May
@ Alianza Valledupar
1–2
L
21 May
vs Popayan
2–3
L
12 May
@ Deportivo Cali
0–2
L
8 May
vs Real Santander
5–0
W
21 Apr
@ Atletico Nacional
0–2
L
13 Apr
vs Chico
5–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millonarios and Bucaramanga.
What is the prediction for Millonarios vs Bucaramanga?
Our pick is Millonarios or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Millonarios vs Bucaramanga?
On our numbers Millonarios have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bucaramanga 15%.
How many goals will there be in Millonarios vs Bucaramanga?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millonarios vs Bucaramanga?
Our predicted score is Millonarios 1–0 Bucaramanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Millonarios vs Bucaramanga?
Millonarios vs Bucaramanga (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
