Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Santa Fe to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Fe to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.65
Águilas Doradas vs Santa Fe preview and prediction
The match
Santa Fe travel to Estadio Cincuentenario in the Primera A on Sunday 26 July (22:05 WAT) to face Águilas Doradas. Águilas Doradas are 10th with 25 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Santa Fe sit 5th on 31 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Águilas Doradas's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Real Soacha 2–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Santa Fe's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Caracas FC 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Santa Fe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Águilas Doradas and 1.2 for Santa Fe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Águilas Doradas 34%, draw 26%, Santa Fe 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Santa Fe to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Águilas Doradas 1–1 Santa Fe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Águilas Doradas34%fair 2.91 · @2.72
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.00
Santa Fe40%fair 2.50 · @2.70
2.38Expected goals
1.13Águilas Doradas xG
1.25Santa Fe xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Águilas Doradas 1.1 – 1.2 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Fe to win✗
40%
2.50
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Fe / FT Santa Fe✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.65
–
Form
Águilas Doradas – last 6
DWWLWL
26 May
@ Real Soacha
2–2
D
21 May
vs Deportivo Pereira
2–1
W
18 May
@ Ind. Yumbo
4–1
W
19 Apr
@ Fortaleza FC
0–2
L
7 Apr
vs Bucaramanga
2–1
W
1 Apr
@ Deportes Tolima
1–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Santa Fe – last 6
WWWDWD
24 Jul
vs Caracas FC
2–0
W
28 May
@ Penarol
1–0
W
20 May
vs Platense
2–1
W
17 May
vs Junior
1–1
D
13 May
vs America de Cali
4–0
W
10 May
@ America de Cali
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águilas Doradas and Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Santa Fe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Águilas Doradas vs Santa Fe?
On our numbers Águilas Doradas have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Santa Fe 40%.
How many goals will there be in Águilas Doradas vs Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águilas Doradas vs Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Águilas Doradas 1–1 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Águilas Doradas vs Santa Fe?
Águilas Doradas vs Santa Fe (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 22:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cincuentenario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.