Leones FC vs Real Cundinamarca prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Cundinamarca to win ✗39% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.58
Leones FC vs Real Cundinamarca preview and prediction
The match
Real Cundinamarca travel to Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui in the Primera B on Thursday 20 August (23:00 WAT) to face Leones FC. Leones FC are 16th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Real Cundinamarca sit 4th on 1 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Leones FC's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Bogota FC 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Cundinamarca's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Popayan 3–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Leones FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Leones FC and 1.1 for Real Cundinamarca. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leones FC 35%, draw 25%, Real Cundinamarca 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Leones FC 1–1 Real Cundinamarca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leones FC35%fair 2.83 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.95
Real Cundinamarca39%fair 2.55 · @2.33
2.12Expected goals
1.02Leones FC xG
1.10Real Cundinamarca xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Leones FC 1.0 – 1.1 Real Cundinamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Cundinamarca to win✗
39%
2.55
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Cundinamarca / FT Real Cundinamarca✗
21%
4.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.58
–
Form
Leones FC – last 6
WDWDWL
6 Aug
@ Bogota FC
1–0
W
3 Aug
vs Quindio
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Tigres FC
1–0
W
30 May
vs Independiente Medellin
1–1
D
12 May
vs Orsomarso
2–0
W
8 May
@ Fortaleza FC
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Real Cundinamarca – last 6
WDLDLW
6 Aug
vs Popayan
3–1
W
2 Aug
vs Real Cartagena
1–1
D
27 Jul
@ Envigado
0–1
L
26 May
vs Águilas Doradas
2–2
D
17 May
@ Deportivo Pereira
0–1
L
13 May
vs Ind. Yumbo
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leones FC and Real Cundinamarca.
What is the prediction for Leones FC vs Real Cundinamarca?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Leones FC vs Real Cundinamarca?
On our numbers Leones FC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Cundinamarca 39%.
How many goals will there be in Leones FC vs Real Cundinamarca?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones FC vs Real Cundinamarca?
Our predicted score is Leones FC 1–1 Real Cundinamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Leones FC vs Real Cundinamarca?
Leones FC vs Real Cundinamarca (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
