Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC preview and prediction
The match
Bogota FC travel to face Real Cartagena in the Primera B on Thursday 20 August (23:45 WAT). Real Cartagena are 3rd with 5 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Bogota FC sit 10th on 18 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Real Cartagena's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Ind. Yumbo 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Bogota FC's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Leones FC 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 May 2026, finished Bogota FC 1–2 Real Cartagena. Across their last 2 meetings Real Cartagena have won 2, Bogota FC 0, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Real Cartagena and 0.6 for Bogota FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Cartagena 65%, draw 24%, Bogota FC 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Real Cartagena 1–0 Bogota FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Cartagena65%fair 1.54 · @1.48
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.90
Bogota FC11%fair 8.82 · @6.00
2.46Expected goals
1.82Real Cartagena xG
0.64Bogota FC xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–09%
From our goals model: Real Cartagena 1.8 – 0.6 Bogota FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC?
On our numbers Real Cartagena have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bogota FC 11%.
How many goals will there be in Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC?
Our predicted score is Real Cartagena 1–0 Bogota FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC?
Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 23:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
