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Primera División · Peru · Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
1–3
FT

FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca prediction & analysis

60%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.70Odds
1

Value bet: FC Cajamarca to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Cajamarca to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12

FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca preview and prediction

The match

The Primera División sees FC Cajamarca take on UTC Cajamarca on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 19:15 (WAT) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon. FC Cajamarca are 14th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while UTC Cajamarca sit 18th on 6 points (in the bottom three).

Form guide

FC Cajamarca's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Sport Boys 2–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

UTC Cajamarca's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to FBC Melgar 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.

FC Cajamarca arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 26 June 2026, finished UTC Cajamarca 3–1 FC Cajamarca. Across their last 2 meetings FC Cajamarca have won 1, UTC Cajamarca 1, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for FC Cajamarca and 1.1 for UTC Cajamarca. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Cajamarca 1–1 UTC Cajamarca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

FC Cajamarca58%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.75
UTC Cajamarca22%fair 4.56 · @3.40
3.12Expected goals
1.99FC Cajamarca xG
1.13UTC Cajamarca xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: FC Cajamarca 2.0 – 1.1 UTC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Cajamarca to win ✗58%1.711.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.70
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Half-time resultFC Cajamarca ahead at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Cajamarca / FT FC Cajamarca ✗36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.12–

Form

FC Cajamarca – last 6

LLDLWL
25 Oct@ Sport Boys2–4L
18 Octvs UCV Moquegua0–1L
10 Oct@ ADT0–0D
19 Sepvs Cusco1–2L
12 Sep@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas2–1W
4 Sepvs Cienciano2–5L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

UTC Cajamarca – last 6

LLLLLL
23 Octvs FBC Melgar1–2L
19 Oct@ Cienciano0–1L
20 Sep@ Sport Huancayo2–3L
11 Sepvs Juan Pablo II College1–2L
4 Sep@ Alianza Atletico2–3L
29 Augvs Universitario2–4L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jun 2026UTC Cajamarca v FC Cajamarca3–1
8 May 2026UTC Cajamarca v FC Cajamarca1–2
FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca?

On our numbers FC Cajamarca have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and UTC Cajamarca 22%.

How many goals will there be in FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca?

Our predicted score is FC Cajamarca 1–1 UTC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca?

FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.