Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Alianza Atletico or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza Atletico to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chanceAlianza Atletico or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Alianza Atletico take on Deportivo Garcilaso on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Campeones del 36. Alianza Atletico are 7th with 28 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Deportivo Garcilaso sit 4th on 29 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Alianza Atletico's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Sport Huancayo 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Deportivo Garcilaso's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Club Deportivo Los Chankas 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 May 2026, finished Deportivo Garcilaso 2–1 Alianza Atletico. Across their last 2 meetings Alianza Atletico have won 1, Deportivo Garcilaso 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Alianza Atletico and 0.9 for Deportivo Garcilaso. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Alianza Atletico or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alianza Atletico or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Alianza Atletico 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Atletico58%fair 1.71 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.50
Deportivo Garcilaso20%fair 5.03 · @4.00
2.73Expected goals
1.80Alianza Atletico xG
0.93Deportivo Garcilaso xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.8 – 0.9 Deportivo Garcilaso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our pick is Alianza Atletico or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Garcilaso 20%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
