Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultADT to win ✓61% · @1.62
Double chanceADT or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.70
ADT vs UCV Moquegua preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees ADT take on UCV Moquegua on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). ADT are 14th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while UCV Moquegua sit 17th on 12 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
ADT's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Atletico Grau 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
UCV Moquegua's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Alianza Lima 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 August 2026, finished ADT 2–0 UCV Moquegua.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for ADT and 0.7 for UCV Moquegua. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: ADT 61%, draw 21%, UCV Moquegua 17%.
Safer route: ADT or draw (83%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was ADT to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: ADT 1–0 UCV Moquegua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ADT61%fair 1.64 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
UCV Moquegua17%fair 5.72 · @5.00
2.42Expected goals
1.68ADT xG
0.74UCV Moquegua xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: ADT 1.7 – 0.7 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is ADT to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win ADT vs UCV Moquegua?
On our numbers ADT have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and UCV Moquegua 17%.
How many goals will there be in ADT vs UCV Moquegua?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADT vs UCV Moquegua?
Our predicted score is ADT 1–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is ADT vs UCV Moquegua?
ADT vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
