The Primera División sees Cusco take on UTC Cajamarca on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Cusco are 10th with 24 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while UTC Cajamarca sit 18th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cusco's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Universitario 1–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
UTC Cajamarca's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with UCV Moquegua 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 February 2026, finished UTC Cajamarca 1–0 Cusco.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Cusco and 0.9 for UTC Cajamarca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cusco 62%, draw 18%, UTC Cajamarca 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Cusco 2–0 UTC Cajamarca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cusco62%fair 1.62 · @1.57
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @3.90
UTC Cajamarca20%fair 5.01 · @5.60
2.76Expected goals
1.85Cusco xG
0.91UTC Cajamarca xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Cusco 1.9 – 0.9 UTC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Cusco have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 18% and UTC Cajamarca 20%.
How many goals will there be in Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Cusco 2–0 UTC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca?
Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
