Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.31
Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico preview and prediction
The match
Alianza Lima host Alianza Atletico in the Primera División on Sunday 2 August, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. Alianza Lima are 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Alianza Atletico sit 7th on 28 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Alianza Lima's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Comerciantes Unidos 2–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Alianza Atletico's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Club Deportivo Los Chankas 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Alianza Atletico arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 June 2026, finished Alianza Lima 1–2 Alianza Atletico. Across their last 2 meetings Alianza Lima have won 0, Alianza Atletico 1, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Alianza Lima and 0.6 for Alianza Atletico. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 47%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza Lima 70%, draw 20%, Alianza Atletico 10%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Alianza Lima 1–0 Alianza Atletico. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Lima70%fair 1.44 · @1.39
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @4.33
Alianza Atletico10%fair 9.67 · @8.60
2.49Expected goals
1.92Alianza Lima xG
0.58Alianza Atletico xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Alianza Lima 1.9 – 0.6 Alianza Atletico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
On our numbers Alianza Lima have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Alianza Atletico 10%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
Our predicted score is Alianza Lima 1–0 Alianza Atletico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
