Value bet: Deportivo Garcilaso to win @ 3.30 – our chance 39% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Garcilaso to win ✓39% · @3.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓10% · fair 9.69
ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Garcilaso travel to Estadio Union Tarma in the Primera División on Sunday 2 August (19:15 WAT) to face ADT. ADT are 16th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Deportivo Garcilaso sit 4th on 29 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
ADT's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Sport Boys 0–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Deportivo Garcilaso's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat FC Cajamarca 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for ADT and 1.3 for Deportivo Garcilaso. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Deportivo Garcilaso to win at 3.30 – 39% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: ADT 1–1 Deportivo Garcilaso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ADT38%fair 2.61 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.45
Deportivo Garcilaso39%fair 2.57 · @3.30
2.50Expected goals
1.24ADT xG
1.26Deportivo Garcilaso xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: ADT 1.2 – 1.3 Deportivo Garcilaso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Garcilaso to win✓
39%
2.57
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Garcilaso / FT Deportivo Garcilaso✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
10%
9.69
–
Form
ADT – last 6
LLWLWD
25 Jul
@ Sport Boys
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Universitario
1–2
L
10 Jul
@ Cienciano
3–2
W
26 Jun
@ Sport Huancayo
0–1
L
19 Jun
vs Alianza Universidad
3–1
W
12 Jun
@ Minas
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Garcilaso – last 6
WLDWLD
27 Jul
vs FC Cajamarca
2–1
W
17 Jul
@ Sporting Cristal
0–1
L
12 Jul
@ UCV Moquegua
0–0
D
29 Jun
vs Deportivo Binacional
4–1
W
22 Jun
@ Cienciano
1–2
L
15 Jun
vs Cusco
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ADT and Deportivo Garcilaso.
What is the prediction for ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
On our numbers ADT have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportivo Garcilaso 39%.
How many goals will there be in ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our predicted score is ADT 1–1 Deportivo Garcilaso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Union Tarma.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
