Value bet: Firpo to win @ 2.85 – our chance 42% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFirpo to win ✗42% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Xelajú vs Firpo preview and prediction
The match
Firpo travel to Estadio Mario Camposeco in the Concacaf Central American Cup on Thursday 27 August (03:30 WAT) to face Xelajú.
Form guide
Xelajú's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Municipal 0–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Firpo's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Platense 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Firpo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Xelajú and 1.5 for Firpo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Xelajú 36%, draw 23%, Firpo 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Firpo to win at 2.85 – 42% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Xelajú 1–1 Firpo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Xelajú36%fair 2.79 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.40
Firpo42%fair 2.41 · @2.85
2.87Expected goals
1.37Xelajú xG
1.50Firpo xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Xelajú 1.4 – 1.5 Firpo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Firpo to win✗
42%
2.41
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Firpo / FT Firpo✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.45
–
Form
Xelajú – last 6
LWLDWL
23 Aug
@ Municipal
0–2
L
19 Aug
vs Diriangén
2–0
W
12 Aug
@ Plaza Amador
2–5
L
8 Aug
@ Malacateco
2–2
D
4 Aug
vs Aurora
3–1
W
30 Jul
@ LD Alajuelense
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Firpo – last 6
WWDWWL
24 Aug
vs Platense
1–0
W
21 Aug
vs LD Alajuelense
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Inca Aruba
0–0
D
14 Aug
vs Diriangén
4–0
W
9 Aug
vs Municipal Limeño
2–0
W
5 Aug
@ Plaza Amador
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xelajú and Firpo.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Xelajú vs Firpo?
On our numbers Xelajú have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Firpo 42%.
How many goals will there be in Xelajú vs Firpo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xelajú vs Firpo?
Our predicted score is Xelajú 1–1 Firpo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Xelajú vs Firpo?
Xelajú vs Firpo (Concacaf Central American Cup) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mario Camposeco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
CD Marathon3
Real Estelí0
LD Alajuelense3
Plaza Amador1